Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002413 0.002562 0.002722 0.002906 0.003113 0.003341 0.003612
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002218 0.002428 0.002665 0.002955 0.003307 0.003727 0.004278
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002052 0.002295 0.002581 0.002949 0.003421 0.004026 0.004892
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001907 0.002167 0.002481 0.002901 0.003466 0.004233 0.005424
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001841 0.002124 0.002477 0.002967 0.003660 0.004665 0.006387
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001777 0.002077 0.002461 0.003010 0.003823 0.005078 0.007450
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001691 0.001993 0.002386 0.002963 0.003843 0.005267 0.008179
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001600 0.001898 0.002289 0.002872 0.003783 0.005309 0.008628
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001548 0.001849 0.002252 0.002864 0.003849 0.005578 0.009687
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001450 0.001735 0.002117 0.002699 0.003642 0.005314 0.009360
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001417 0.001707 0.002100 0.002712 0.003731 0.005624 0.010662
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001397 0.001696 0.002107 0.002760 0.003885 0.006096 0.012767
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001356 0.001654 0.002070 0.002740 0.003924 0.006354 0.014510
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001333 0.001638 0.002069 0.002779 0.004076 0.006912 0.018208
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001300 0.001605 0.002041 0.002770 0.004139 0.007279 0.021831
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001260 0.001561 0.001994 0.002727 0.004125 0.007450 0.024832
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001248 0.001556 0.002006 0.002785 0.004328 0.008284 0.036470
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001231 0.001544 0.002008 0.002823 0.004494 0.009098 0.057250
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001198 0.001507 0.001966 0.002781 0.004476 0.009316 0.073605
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001158 0.001458 0.001904 0.002700 0.004363 0.009168 0.079477
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001137 0.001436 0.001884 0.002692 0.004417 0.009651 0.133457
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001086 0.001368 0.001790 0.002544 0.004132 0.008789 0.086574
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001071 0.001355 0.001782 0.002556 0.004222 0.009391 0.174639